Journal article
Journal of Financial Markets, 2021
Assistant Professor of Finance
Department of Finance, Insurance, and Business Law
Virginia Tech
APA
Click to copy
Johnson, J. A., Medeiros, M., & Paye, B. S. (2021). Jumps in Stock Prices: New Insights from Old Data. Journal of Financial Markets.
Chicago/Turabian
Click to copy
Johnson, James A, M. Medeiros, and Bradley S. Paye. “Jumps in Stock Prices: New Insights from Old Data.” Journal of Financial Markets (2021).
MLA
Click to copy
Johnson, James A., et al. “Jumps in Stock Prices: New Insights from Old Data.” Journal of Financial Markets, 2021.
BibTeX Click to copy
@article{james2021a,
title = {Jumps in Stock Prices: New Insights from Old Data},
year = {2021},
journal = {Journal of Financial Markets},
author = {Johnson, James A and Medeiros, M. and Paye, Bradley S.}
}
We characterize jump dynamics in stock market returns using a novel series of intraday prices covering almost 90 years. Jump dynamics vary substantially over time. Trends in jump activity relate to secular shifts in the nature of news. Unscheduled news often involving major wars drives jump activity in early decades, whereas scheduled news and especially news pertaining to monetary policy drives jump activity in recent decades. Jump variation measures forecast excess stock market returns, consistent with theory. Results support models featuring a separate jump factor such that risk premium dynamics are not fully captured by volatility state variables.